Inevitable Turkey-Iran-Syria-Russia alliance

[Marulus]

Inevitable Turkey-Iran-Syria-Russia alliance

Monday , 05 November 2007

* View by Ata ATUN

The Middle East has acquired immense strategic value as one of the determining fulcrums in the global balance of power due to its being the world's largest known storehouse of low-cost energy supplies. The region's geopolitical importance, the kaleidoscopic nature of politics among its states, the presence of volatile social and political forces within them and the interference of world superpowers all insure that the region will remain a potentially explosive source of tension for years.

Emboldened by its military strength after World War II, Moscow prepared to carve up its southern neighbors. It demanded territorial concessions and control of the Bosporus from Turkey and refused to withdraw from northern Iran, which it had occupied in 1941. Turkey and Iran rebuffed Soviet coercive diplomacy with the support of the United States and became key allies in the American effort to contain Soviet expansion.

The Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) was a defense alliance between Turkey, Iran, Pakistan and Great Britain. Originally named the Baghdad Pact, the name was changed when the Iraqi revolution led Iraq to withdraw in 1959. The United States had observer status in the alliance but was not a party to the treaty. The fall of the shah removed the American shield from Iran, sounded the death knell for the anti-Soviet CENTO alliance and sailed Iran towards new horizons.

Now the same faith is on the road for Turkey. The measureless and injudicious backup given by the occupying power in Iraq -- the US government -- to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and to Massoud Barzani, the former tribal leader of the Iraqi Kurds and now the so-called leader of the Iraqi Kurdish region.

Turkey, taking into consideration the ongoing assaults by the PKK terrorists in the southeastern regions and the measureless backup given by US government to Iraqi Kurds, has drawn up a new strategic alliance policy that weakens ties with the US and strengthens relations with Iran and Syria, their millennium-long neighbors.

The US has failed to keep its promise to Turkey to confront the PKK. Turkey now feels that it has no choice but to attack the PKK's sanctuaries in northern Iraq together with Iran.

Iran is also suffering from similar assaults originating from the same terrorist group located in the Kurdish region of northern Iraq under the name of Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan (PJAK).

The US and Iran are increasingly at odds over a range of issues, and Turkey has stood nearby the US as an old and devoted ally for the past 57 years.

Surprisingly, US strategists seem to be pushing Turkey and Iran together to fight against violent Kurdish attacks or into an alliance to fight together against the common enemy in the region at the cost of losing Turkey as a faithful ally. The sympathy of Turkish people towards the US had fallen sharply over the past couple of years, and it will take decades for US to recover it.

It seems it is now mandatory for Turkey and Iran to form a common cooperative ground in regard to common problems and interests. New and stronger cooperative action in the economic field by Turkey and Iran will play a major role in the eradication of the political distrust and concerns between the two countries. The parties have announced an upcoming doubling of the volume of their trade.

Both countries have already agreed on the elimination of the main source of discord: support for each other's separatist and oppositional organizations. Iran has committed to adding the PKK to its list of "terrorist organizations." Turkey has done the same concerning the Iranian group "Mojahedin Halk."

The second stage is the escalation of high-level cooperation between Turkey, Iran and Syria and this is moving forward, as well.

Aversion to American global policy, in particular to the actions of the US in Iraq, the common allies of Syria and Iran, and also shared economic interests, will lead to the merging of the political strategies of Russia and Turkey. Countries that were previously historical opponents will turn into partners in the creation of a new Eurasian coalition.

The final effect of the region's aversion to American policies will be the formation of the "union of four:" Russia, Turkey, Iran and Syria. Of course, this rapprochement between Ankara, Moscow, Damascus and Teheran will definitely affect Washington's position in the Middle East.

05.11.2007

[source]

[Kernunnos]

An interesting opinion from an authoritative turkish political commentator seems to reveal that in Turkey the real roots of that people are steering it from joining EU towards a different political destiny.

[Martín Zalacaín]

Welcome to the "news-already-posted" club. I am the president of the aforementioned club. The news I post are always deleted.

Anyway, those are important news and deserve to be posted twice. Bad news for the euro-identitarias, I guess.

[Crvena zvezda]

Turks are enemies with Iran, Syria and Russia. such an alliance is unlikely to happen.

[Menydh]

Looks like an infantile rant from that Turk, over the reticence of the European Union to grant Turkey full access to the club.

I agree with Crvena. Russian and Turkish interests overlap in Central Asia and the Caucasus, plus Turkey is one of the most willing allies of the U.S.

This kind of opinion-analysis articles are for goat-lover readers.

[Marulus]

Originally Posted by Mynydd

Looks like an infantile rant from that Turk, over the reticence of the European Union to grant Turkey full access to the club.

Who says there is such a reticence from the part of the Brussels and co. crime syndicate? They are ready for anything. Once Merkel was against Turkey joining EU, now she chenged her mind.

Originally Posted by Mynydd

I agree with Crvena. Russian and Turkish interests overlap in Central Asia and the Caucasus, plus Turkey is one of the most willing allies of the U.S.

It is highly unlikely. But such geopolitical anayses are more often than not just conjectures about future, predictions, very often without ground in reality, and, most of all, wishful thinking. They speak more about someone's wishes than about real scenarios of the future.

[Marulus]

Originally Posted by Breha

An interesting opinion from an authoritative turkish political commentator seems to reveal that in Turkey the real roots of that people are steering it from joining EU towards a different political destiny.

Well, maybe the EU is keener on receiving Turkey into its membership than the Turks themselves on joining the EU? Did you ever think of something like that?

[Kernunnos]

Originally Posted by Plethon

Well, maybe the EU is keener on receiving Turkey into its membership than the Turks themselves on joining the EU? Did you ever think of something like that?

Sure, that's what i'm most afraid of.

the only opinion that matters for brussel is that of the small westernized elites who share the same masonic lodge roots as the bruxellite gang.

As it was the case for the opinion of the various italian peoples at the time of unification, only the opinion of the enlightened elites will be taken into account.

obviously

They haven't considered the depth of the turkish people love for their county, their identity, their religion and their pride that easily turns into deadly chauvinism.

I hope that will bring them to the path of the americanized Iran that dumped the Shah and the US to find its real roots, despite the support of a thin group of privileged and corrupted westerners.

[Monolith]

Originally Posted by Plethon

Well, maybe the EU is keener on receiving Turkey into its membership than the Turks themselves on joining the EU? Did you ever think of something like that?

In that case, the EU is suicidal.
If Turkey joins EU, they will become the second most populous, and thus second most powerful member state. No important decision could be made without Turkey's consent.

[Menydh]

Originally Posted by Plethon

Who says there is such a reticence from the part of the Brussels and co. crime syndicate? They are ready for anything. Once Merkel was against Turkey joining EU, now she chenged her mind.

The reticence is not the politicians' own reticence, but forced by the knowledge that this is going to be a very unpopular move, among many people.

Call it delay if you wish, but the Turks will keep seeing it as reticence on the part of the EU, since they don't have to care for whatever indices of popularity of Merkel in Germany.