[Crvena zvezda]

I'd say it's more of a stalemate with Serbia at present being in slightly advantageous position.

I expect the issue of Kosovo to be resolved quickly. Serbia votes on May 11, while the illegal EU mission needs Serbia to agree to independence or to recognize it's legitimacy by May 31. Given that parliament will not approve the EU SAA (stabilization and association and agreement) at present it is clear that before that date Serbia will not legitimize this illegal act.

For Serbia to win this diplomatic bible the support for the extremely pro-EU parties must remain at the level they are now because if this occurs then after the election there will be no approval of the EU mission.

June 1 and afterwards the UN mission in Kosovo will become illegal and there will be no chance for the EU mission to receive legitimacy, then Serbia can take several steps:
- Invade Kosovo. As soon as UN mission in Kosovo is dissolved and unreplacable by the EU, the NATO KFOR mission is thus an illegal force. But given that NATO violated international law to get into Kosovo this is the least likely option.
- Become a Russian province. Some members of the SRS (the radical party) have called for this but this is not popular among Serbs and is impractical due to distance and several NATO countries being in between the two countries.
- Serbia inviting a peace keeping force consisting of Russians. This is most likely and their has been speculation among western analysts of Serbia planning this. Not only that but this is preferable as the Russians would allow Serb troops to re-enter Kosovo.